"間違いは事後に判断されるべきものではなく、その時点までに利用可能な情報に照らして判断されるべきものです。"
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Simplified Meaning:
When you make a decision, you can only use the information you have at that moment. You cannot predict the future or know things you don't have access to right then. For example, imagine you go on a picnic because the weather report says it will be sunny. But later, it unexpectedly rains. It might feel like a mistake to have gone, but you made a good choice based on what you knew earlier. The advice here is to not judge your past decisions harshly just because new information comes later. Instead, trust that you did your best with what you had. When faced with a new decision, gather as much information as you can, make your choice, and don't be too hard on yourself if things change.
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Decision-making Growth Hindsight Information Judgment Learning Mistake Perspective Reflection WisdomFEATURED QUOTES