"经验主义被高估了,因为它不能很好地预测未来事件。"
— Paul Graham
Simplified Meaning:
Empiricism focuses on learning from our past experiences and observations. It works by collecting and analyzing data to understand how things have happened before. However, just relying on what we have seen or measured in the past won't always help us see what's coming next. Imagine trying to predict tomorrow's weather by only looking at yesterday's weather. It might give us some clues, but it wouldn't be very accurate because weather can change due to many factors. So, while knowing what happened before can be useful, we also need to think about and use other methods to make better predictions. For example, weather forecasts use complex models and theories, not just past data, to predict future weather more accurately. In our own lives, when planning for the future, we should consider both our previous experiences and new, different information to make better decisions.