Nassim Nicholas Taleb Quote

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"随机性与复杂的无方向努力是无法区分的。"

Translations

“It is remarkable that the human mind can manage to be so wrong yet so confident”

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

“Decision-makers learn best from adverse outcomes, not when things go smoothly”

“When you depart from standard probability, you completely lose track of its limits”

“The fooled-by-randomness effect applies to both the forecasters and those misled by their forecasts”

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